The discriminative functional mixture model for a comparative analysis of bike sharing systems

Bike sharing systems (BSSs) have become a means of sustainable intermodal transport and are now proposed in many cities worldwide. Most BSSs also provide open access to their data, particularly to real-time status reports on their bike stations. The analysis of the mass of data generated by such systems is of particular interest to BSS providers to update system structures and policies. This work was motivated by interest in analyzing and comparing several European BSSs to identify common operating patterns in BSSs and to propose practical solutions to avoid potential issues. Our approach relies on the identification of common patterns between and within systems. To this end, a model-based clustering method, called FunFEM, for time series (or more generally functional data) is developed. It is based on a functional mixture model that allows the clustering of the data in a discriminative functional subspace. This model presents the advantage in this context to be parsimonious and to allow the visualization of the clustered systems. Numerical experiments confirm the good behavior of FunFEM, particularly compared to state-of-the-art methods. The application of FunFEM to BSS data from JCDecaux and the Transport for London Initiative allows us to identify 10 general patterns, including pathological ones, and to propose practical improvement strategies based on the system comparison. The visualization of the clustered data within the discriminative subspace turns out to be particularly informative regarding the system efficiency. The proposed methodology is implemented in a package for the R software, named funFEM, which is available on the CRAN. The package also provides a subset of the data analyzed in this work.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/15-AOAS861 in the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Analysis of Professional Trajectories using Disconnected Self-Organizing Maps

In this paper we address an important economic question. Is there, as mainstream economic theory asserts it, an homogeneous labor market with mechanisms which govern supply and demand for work, producing an equilibrium with its remarkable properties? Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) collected on the period 1984-2003, we study the situations of American workers with respect to employment. The data include all heads of household (men or women) as well as the partners who are on the labor market, working or not. They are extracted from the complete survey and we compute a few relevant features which characterize the worker's situations. To perform this analysis, we suggest using a Self-Organizing Map (SOM, Kohonen algorithm) with specific structure based on planar graphs, with disconnected components (called D-SOM), especially interesting for clustering. We compare the results to those obtained with a classical SOM grid and a star-shaped map (called SOS). Each component of D-SOM takes the form of a string and corresponds to an organized cluster. From this clustering, we study the trajectories of the individuals among the classes by using the transition probability matrices for each period and the corresponding stationary distributions. As a matter of fact, we find clear evidence of heterogeneous parts, each one with high homo-geneity, representing situations well identified in terms of activity and wage levels and in degree of stability in the workplace. These results and their interpretation in economic terms contribute to the debate about flexibility which is commonly seen as a way to obtain a better level of equilibrium on the labor market

Sudden change detection in turbofan engine behavior

International audienceSnecma, as a turbofan manufacturer, needs to deal with a wide eet of more than thousands of engines. Every day, data from aircraft engines are broadcas- ted to the ground. Some airlines companies rely on their engine manufacturer to control the engines' behavior and help prepare for maintenance scheduling. The goal of the manufacturer is to detect abnormalities to help schedule main- tenance operations. The advantage of the manufacturer as MRO operator is the registered memory of all past events that appears on its eet of engines. If one opens the possibility to look in this huge amount of data for corresponding similar behaviors, which may have append in the past (for all engines of all customer companies), it becomes possible to make some targeted statistics of the future

Visual Mining and Statistics for a Turbofan Engine Fleet

International audienceSnecma, as a turbofan manufacturer, needs to deal with a wide eet of more than thousands of engines. Every day, data from aircraft engines are broadcas- ted to the ground. Some airlines companies rely on their engine manufacturer to control the engines' behavior and help prepare for maintenance scheduling. The goal of the manufacturer is to detect abnormalities to help schedule main- tenance operations. The advantage of the manufacturer as MRO operator is the registered memory of all past events that appears on its eet of engines. If one opens the possibility to look in this huge amount of data for corresponding similar behaviors, which may have append in the past (for all engines of all customer companies), it becomes possible to make some targeted statistics of the future

Trajectoires d'emploi identifiées à l'aide de cartes auto-organisées classifiantes. Etude réalisée avec le Panel Study of Income Dynamics, 1993-2003

International audienceNous étudions les situations de chefs de famille américains vis-à-vis de l'emploi. Nous proposons pour cela une méthode de classification et de visualisation de données de grande dimension basée sur l'algorithme de Kohonen permettant l'apprentissage des cartes auto-organisatrices. Cette méthode que nous nommerons cartes auto-organisée classifiante nous permet d'étudier la segmentation du marché du travail américain en classes aux caractéristiques différentes et d'étudier la dynamique des trajectoires professionnelles des foyers appartenant au panel parmi ces classes

Semi-supervised feature extraction using independent factor analysis

International audienceDimensionality reduction can be efficiently achieved by generative latent variable models such as probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) or independent component analysis (ICA), aiming to extract a reduced set of variables (latent variables) from the original ones. In most cases, the learning of these methods is achieved within the unsupervised framework where only unlabeled samples are used. In this paper we investigate the possibility of estimating independent factor analysis model (IFA) and thus projecting original data onto a lower dimensional space, when prior knowledge on the cluster membership of some training samples is incorporated. In the basic IFA model, latent variables are only recovered from their linear observed mixtures (original features). Both the mapping matrix (assumed to be linear) and the latent variable densities (that are assumed to be mutually independent and generated according to mixtures of Gaussians) are learned from observed data. We propose to learn this model within semisupervised framework where the likelihood of both labeled and unlabeled samples is maximized by a generalized expectation-maximization (GEM) algorithm. Experimental results on real data sets are provided to demonstrate the ability of our approach to find law dimensional manifold with good explanatory power

Noiseless Independent Factor Analysis with mixing constraints in a semi-supervised framework. Application to railway device fault diagnosis.

International audienceIn Independent Factor Analysis (IFA), latent components (or sources) are recovered from only their linear observed mixtures. Both the mixing process and the source densities (that are assumed to be gener- ated according to mixtures of Gaussians) are learned from observed data. This paper investigates the possibility of estimating the IFA model in its noiseless setting when two kinds of prior information are incorporated: constraints on the mixing process and partial knowledge on the cluster membership of some examples. Semi-supervised or partially supervised learning frameworks can thus be handled. These two proposals have been initially motivated by a real-world application that concerns fault diag- nosis of a railway device. Results from this application are provided to demonstrate the ability of our approach to enhance estimation accuracy and remove indeterminacy commonly encountered in unsupervised IFA such as source permutations

Trajectoires d'emploi identifiées à l'aide de cartes auto-organisées classifiantes. Etude réalisée avec le Panel Study of Income Dynamics, 1993-2003

Nous étudions les situations de chefs de famille américains vis-à-vis de l'emploi. Nous proposons pour cela une méthode de classification et de visualisation de données de grande dimension basée sur l'algorithme de Kohonen permettant l'apprentissage des cartes auto-organisatrices. Cette méthode que nous nommerons cartes auto-organisée classifiante nous permet d'étudier la segmentation du marché du travail américain en classes aux caractéristiques différentes et d'étudier la dynamique des trajectoires professionnelles des foyers appartenant au panel parmi ces classes.cartes auto-organisées;marché de l'emploi;trajectoires

Reciprocal Regulation of KCC2 Trafficking and Synaptic Activity

The main inhibitory neurotransmitter receptors in the adult central nervous system (CNS) are type A γ-aminobutyric acid receptors (GABAARs) and glycine receptors (GlyRs). Synaptic responses mediated by GlyR and GABAAR display a hyperpolarizing shift during development. This shift relies mainly on the developmental up-regulation of the K+-Cl− co-transporter KCC2 responsible for the extrusion of Cl−. In mature neurons, altered KCC2 function—mainly through increased endocytosis—leads to the re-emergence of depolarizing GABAergic and glycinergic signaling, which promotes hyperexcitability and pathological activities. Identifying signaling pathways and molecular partners that control KCC2 surface stability thus represents a key step in the development of novel therapeutic strategies. Here, we present our current knowledge on the cellular and molecular mechanisms governing the plasma membrane turnover rate of the transporter under resting conditions and in response to synaptic activity. We also discuss the notion that KCC2 lateral diffusion is one of the first parameters modulating the transporter membrane stability, allowing for rapid adaptation of Cl− transport to changes in neuronal activity

MRI-Based Radiomics Input for Prediction of 2-Year Disease Recurrence in Anal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

International audiencePurpose: Chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) is the standard treatment for non-metastatic anal squamous cell carcinomas (ASCC). Despite excellent results for T1-2 stages, relapses still occur in around 35% of locally advanced tumors. Recent strategies focus on treatment intensification, but could benefit from a better patient selection. Our goal was to assess the prognostic value of pre-therapeutic MRI radiomics on 2-year disease control (DC). Methods: We retrospectively selected patients with non-metastatic ASCC treated at the CHU Bordeaux and in the French FFCD0904 multicentric trial. Radiomic features were extracted from T2-weighted pre-therapeutic MRI delineated sequences. After random division between training and testing sets on a 2:1 ratio, univariate and multivariate analysis were performed on the training cohort to select optimal features. The correlation with 2-year DC was assessed using logistic regression models, with AUC and accuracy as performance gauges, and the prediction of disease-free survival using Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: A total of 82 patients were randomized in the training (n = 54) and testing sets (n = 28). At 2 years, 24 patients (29%) presented relapse. In the training set, two clinical (tumor size and CRT length) and two radiomic features (FirstOrder_Entropy and GLCM_JointEnergy) were associated with disease control in univariate analysis and included in the model. The clinical model was outperformed by the mixed (clinical and radiomic) model in both the training (AUC 0.758 versus 0.825, accuracy of 75.9% versus 87%) and testing (AUC 0.714 versus 0.898, accuracy of 78.6% versus 85.7%) sets, which led to distinctive high and low risk of disease relapse groups (HR 8.60, p = 0.005). Conclusion: A mixed model with two clinical and two radiomic features was predictive of 2-year disease control after CRT and could contribute to identify high risk patients amenable to treatment intensification with view of personalized medicine